🍒 Gambling and Arguments: Just Another January at Work

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The Hangover Card Counting Scene

One is the ease with which gamblers can find each other online and share tactics. Two sets of six playing cards, numbered one through six, one set with red backs, the other with blue backs, serve as de facto dice. Sun wore a neon green approximation of a tennis dress. If the sum exceeds 9, then only the second digit is recognized for example, a 9 and 6 add up to 15 but count as 5.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} Such proposition, or prop, bets favor the casino. An older civilian accidentally got in the middle of it. When they came up, Munchkin shot a fist in the air and shouted. Whiting acknowledges that they do not deserve to be arrested. An observant dealer, a man who appeared to be in his early 30s, discerned something fishy. As I walked beside him, I tried to appear casual, with the tail of my untucked shirt covering the notepad in the back pocket of my slacks. Her name was Cheung Yin Sun. Whiting estimates the number of successful advantage players to be in the hundreds. Grosjean was frustrated. Two regular gamblers, whom Grosjean had noticed on numerous occasions in Shawnee, watched in slack-jawed surprise: Patrons rarely played for such large sums there. I decided that one day I would get back the money by playing at MGM properties. To experienced surveillance people, he is a known advantage player; at any time he could be spotted, matched to his picture in a database of such players and asked to leave a casino. In recent years, however, Whiting says the ranks of advantage players have swelled. Grosjean has a blog called Beyond Numbers, for example. If that happens, the security guard could also read him the trespass act, meaning Grosjean would risk arrest if he tried to return. Being run out of casinos is an occupational hazard for Grosjean, a professional gambler who majored in applied math at Harvard and briefly considered careers on Wall Street and in academia. Before the cards are dealt, gamblers bet on banker or player or a tie. Some had crisscrossing patterns that went right to all four edges. Only two questions seemed to temper his confidence in taking on this particular game. Glances were exchanged among employees running the game, but no one else seemed to take the claim very seriously — nor did they realize that something potentially more profitable and innovative than card counting was going on. Upon her release, Sun visited several Las Vegas casino gift shops and bought souvenir decks of playing cards. She claims to be unbothered by having blown a fortune in gambling dens around the world. Maybe he had noticed the discreet glances at Grosjean. Tens and picture-cards count as zero; aces count as 1. Down below on the gaming floor, ringed by wall-mounted TV monitors silently showing a sporting event, slot machines chirped and crowded blackjack tables buzzed with action. When Grosjean first reconnoitered the game, he saw that the 12 playing cards used to simulate a pair of craps dice were being shuffled by a machine designed to speed up play and randomize the order of the cards. Elite Western gamblers and rattled casino bosses know her as Kelly, a fast-talking, sunglasses-wearing advantage player in her 40s. Grosjean discovered that he could see the identity and order of at least three cards entering the machine, the bottom one held by the dealer and the two that were exposed during game play. Grosjean had explained earlier the reason for this quirk: The Grand happens to be located in a jurisdiction where it is illegal for dice to determine financial outcomes in games of chance. His findings would give him a significant edge playing the card-based craps game in Shawnee. They accuse him of cheating. In fact, she all but brags about her losses. To begin, four cards are dealt face down onto the table. Patrons never touch the cards. Because he has examined these shuffling machines and knows how they work, he could reliably judge the likelihood that certain cards would be excluded from play. Whichever side gets closer to 9 is the winner. They look identical to those used at the gaming tables but have holes punched through their centers to prevent cheaters from slipping a souvenir ace of spades, say, into a poker game. After each round, the dealer there swept up the cards and put them in the shuffler without mixing them by hand. Mini-baccarat is played with eight decks of cards. Still, he kept feeding Munchkin information about the cards. That was true in Shawnee. A gambler might bet, for example, that the sum of the first two cards in play will total 7 or If the sum equals 2, 3 or 12, he loses. Several factors are responsible. It is a way to make the game feel like craps without dice directly producing a monetary outcome. The opportunity was in Shawnee, Okla. Munchkin was less than friendly, tipped modestly, demanded a lot of service. She spent around a thousand hours, over four years, training herself to recognize the minute variations on particular cards. Their scheme, their play against the casino, was perhaps too complicated to pull off, Grosjean would later concede. I know people who clock roulette wheels and others who can control a single die at craps. By Michael Kaplan. Dealers on the table clearly knew him — he had been establishing his presence here for the past week, getting used to the game and figuring out its subtleties — and they good-naturedly commiserated with him over his propensity for losing. Illustration by Sarah Illenberger. She scrutinized the backs of the cards. Over the course of the game, players can wager on other combinations, like two 5s turned over which pays out 7 to 1. Yet what he does is entirely legal. If a total of 7 comes first, he loses. Sun figured out how she could leverage these differences that were almost imperceptible and acceptable by industry standards. After that, standard rules apply. Play resumed. The motions were signals to Munchkin: With a split-second glance, he gained the statistically significant advantage of knowing numbers likely to be excluded. How long would they be allowed to play before being asked to leave? So if security was waiting for him at the bottom, Grosjean needed to be able to run back up in the opposite direction with the hope of avoiding a confrontation. He learned as much when he spent the next two days gambling on his own. Elbows were thrown and there was a lot of jostling around the table. Cumulatively, they rake in large profits from games that were designed to be unbeatable: While some bettors might get lucky and win in the short run, over time they are supposed to lose and the casinos are expected to win, statistically speaking. He sipped from a venti-size container of coffee and typed rapidly on his laptop computer. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}Instead, they hone the sharpest legal edge they can. His signaling had not been perfected yet — some gestures were being missed. Play had been temporarily halted to accommodate another recent arrival at the felt-covered table — Richard Munchkin. He uses his programming skills to divine the odds in various situations and then develops strategies for exploiting them. It would be equivalent to gambling at standard craps with dice and knowing which three dice faces — out of 12 possible — would have a reduced probability of coming up on any roll. His son thought I had hit him, and the son jumped on my back. The cube determines which cards are turned over. Grosjean passed an escalator and headed down a back staircase. That, combined with a bit of bad luck, had put Munchkin into a difficult situation. I view it all as preventable loss. A player rolls a giant numbered cube, apparently made from plastic foam. Her father, now deceased, was a wealthy factory owner based in Hong Kong. Getting away, on the other hand, would give him an opportunity to come back on some future day and perhaps go unnoticed. Many casino executives despise gamblers like Grosjean. Munchkin, whose real first name is Richard, chose his professional surname because of the fact that he stands slightly taller than five feet. And because regulated casino gambling now takes place in at least 40 states, casinos compete for customers in part by introducing new games, some of which turn out to be vulnerable. Armed with that knowledge, he spent several months simulating the game in software; his computer mimicked the shuffling algorithm and played the game millions of times. Slowly, as the night grinded on, some of the high-returning prop bets started to pay off. But Grosjean knew that shuffling machines are computer driven and therefore only as good as they are programmed and used: Sometimes, in fact, the devices are surprisingly predictable. Grosjean specializes in finding vulnerable games like the one in Shawnee. After all, Little Joe was bleeding money. In the near distance stood a sign for a local casino, the Palms, where he has been shown the door more than once. After every two-card set is turned over, the cards were machine-shuffled before the next roll. That is usually illegal, the sort of thing that can result in jail time. Following all the tumult, the table was being watched and somebody figured out what was going on. How much money would they be able to win? Sun had no such intention. The thrill was feigned.